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Will the Economic Recovery Run Out of Steam?
After a year of solid gains, the economic recovery is beginning to slow. Demand is trailing off as inventory levels have been restored and emergency stimulus measures withdrawn. Continued high unemployment and a downtick in housing are weighing on consumer confidence and spending. Add unexpected shocks from Europe and a slowdown in China, and forecasters are now ratcheting down their expectations for growth over the next year. While many still expect economic expansion to continue in the longer term, "we have definitely hit a soft patch," one Wharton faculty member notes.
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ABC's IPO Underscores the ABCs of Banking in China
With the world record-breaking $22 billion IPO of Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) on July 15, Beijing relinquished another small part of its hold on the country's financial services sector. But the process of modernizing the country's banks is far from over, say experts in China and beyond. As ABC and its local rivals struggle to shed their legacy as state-directed "policy banks," many observers still question the central government's willingness to cede control over the balance sheets of what have become some of the world's largest lenders.
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